Mandela-RF on c11 – per-individual Mandela classification by year
Source:R/otis_all_analyze.R
morie_otis_analyze_c11_mandela_classification.RdApplies the 15-day threshold to OTIS c11 (Ontario provincial counts of INDIVIDUALS by binned aggregate duration). Reports both restrictive-confinement and segregation-only views.
Examples
# \donttest{
otis_c11 <- morie_synth_otis("c11", n = 120L, seed = 1L)
morie_otis_analyze_c11_mandela_classification(otis_c11)
#> Mandela-RF on OTIS c11 -- per-individual Mandela classification (Ontario provincial restrictive-confinement & segregation, by fiscal year)
#> ==========================================================================================================================================
#> Source OTIS c11 (individuals x aggregate duration)
#> Mandela threshold Rule 43 -- 15 days (<=15 = solitary; >=16 = torture)
#> Two views Segregation (closer match to federal SIU); Restrictive Confinement (broader Ontario)
#> Caveat Duration-only proxy -- no hours-out-of-cell in OTIS
#> Federal SD-2021 reference (N=1960) Solitary 28.4%, Torture 9.9%
#>
#> OTIS c11 Mandela-class by year x confinement type (individuals as the unit):
#> Year Type Solitary N Solitary % Torture N Torture % Total
#> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#> 2018 Segregation 444 69.3% 197 30.7% 641
#> 2018 Restrictive confinement 596 70.9% 245 29.1% 841
#> 2019 Segregation 309 46.4% 357 53.6% 666
#> 2019 Restrictive confinement 371 46.0% 436 54.0% 807
#> 2020 Segregation 387 74.1% 135 25.9% 522
#> 2020 Restrictive confinement 274 67.5% 132 32.5% 406
#> 2021 Segregation 300 55.2% 243 44.8% 543
#> 2021 Restrictive confinement 403 72.2% 155 27.8% 558
#> 2022 Segregation 463 81.8% 103 18.2% 566
#> 2022 Restrictive confinement 474 71.9% 185 28.1% 659
#> 2023 Segregation 388 50.7% 377 49.3% 765
#> 2023 Restrictive confinement 422 48.1% 455 51.9% 877
#> 2024 Segregation 492 66.1% 252 33.9% 744
#> 2024 Restrictive confinement 750 78.7% 203 21.3% 953
#>
#> Per-individual Mandela classification on OTIS c11. The 'Segregation' view is most directly comparable to the Sprott-Doob federal SIU classification (28.4% solitary, 9.9% torture across N=1960).
# }