Mandela-RF on b05 – per-placement Mandela classification by year
Source:R/otis_all_analyze.R
morie_otis_analyze_b05_mandela_classification.RdApplies the Sprott-Doob 15-day Mandela threshold to OTIS b05 (Ontario provincial segregation placement counts by binned duration).
Examples
# \donttest{
otis_b05 <- morie_synth_otis("b05", n = 120L, seed = 1L)
morie_otis_analyze_b05_mandela_classification(otis_b05)
#> Mandela-RF on OTIS b05 -- per-placement Mandela classification (Ontario provincial segregation, by fiscal year)
#> ===============================================================================================================
#> Source OTIS b05 (segregation placement counts x duration)
#> Mandela threshold Rule 43 -- 15 days (<=15 = solitary; >=16 = torture)
#> Caveat Duration-only proxy (no hours-out-of-cell in OTIS); treat as upper bound
#> Federal SD-2021 reference (CSC SIUs N=1960) Solitary 28.4%, Torture 9.9%
#> Latest provincial torture rate 21.30% -- vs federal 9.9%; higher
#>
#> OTIS b05 Mandela-class by fiscal year (placements as the unit):
#> Fiscal year Solitary N Solitary % Torture N Torture % Total
#> ----------------------------------------------------------------
#> 2018 596 70.9% 245 29.1% 841
#> 2019 371 46.0% 436 54.0% 807
#> 2020 274 67.5% 132 32.5% 406
#> 2021 403 72.2% 155 27.8% 558
#> 2022 474 71.9% 185 28.1% 659
#> 2023 422 48.1% 455 51.9% 877
#> 2024 750 78.7% 203 21.3% 953
#>
#> Applies the Sprott-Doob Mandela-Rules duration threshold (15 days, Rule 43) to OTIS provincial segregation placements. The 'torture' bin (>=16 days) counts placements crossing the prolonged-solitary line.
# }